Sunday, February 12, 2006

And a bit more....

I have been thinking about this alot, so I will continue.....
I see several kinds of growth and expansion in our town. I will attempt to break them down into rough categories. Because I do not wish anyone to think I think growth is bad.

Jobs. this is what everyone exhorts as growth. But lets break it down. What will it cost our community to get these jobs.
Centene, AvMax, Cable Technologies, NEW . They create jobs, for their workers, and for construction, remodeling, generate tax revenue, use City services. In the long run it does not cost us to have these business. Our money stays here. Good.
The base. No argument, it brings in money. These people spend here, live here, support our community. Many stay here. Good.
Healthcare. We all need it. Huge revenue generator. Lots of construction, good paying jobs, this is an industry that has had and will have long term economic impact on Great Falls. The amount of money that leaves the community is justified. Good.
Us. Bash casino's if you wish, but remember, most of the casino's are locally owned business. They support local events, generate tax money, use city services, employ local workers. I don't know if many of you notice, but every time there is a benefit of some kind where the sponsors are listed, you can read through and see all the names of casino and bar owners who give their money to make our community better. Go up to the Russell Museum and read the Board they have up. Look at the bars and restaurants on Tenth. How many are established, family owned business that have been here for years. Down town. Walk down Central and tell me how many business are not owned by people who live here. The Murphy - McClay bldg. Johnson Hotel. The entire 100 block, Candy Masterpiece, Studio Montage, Baker Bobs. I remember that block 15 years ago. Do you?
Franchises. Subway, McDonalds, national names but owned by local people. A large portion of the money you spend there stays here.
The Big Guys. Albertsons, Target, Shopko, K-mart The whole Marketplace, Rexs, Most of the mall. When you go into Wal-Mart (yes, you knew where this was going didn't you!) and buy something only a tiny bit of Your Money is going to stay in our community. I'm going to throw out some numbers here, they are not accurate so don't jump all over me. Say you get your paycheck from the ad agency you work at. Spend $100.00 at one of the above. Lets say 20% is going to local workers. Lets give another 15% to utilities, rent and taxes. Give 40% to actual cost before markup. So $25.00 of your money is profit. Gets divided up between corporate holdings and Martha Stewart etc. Only $25.00. But it actually costs us more. It leaves our community. It doesn't get spent at a local business ever again.
Spend $100.00 at Eklunds. They most likely will have to charge a higher price for the same thing, or make less profit. So good old Cal ends up with $20.00. And goes down to Bert and
Ernies, spends the money on dinner and a Pigs Ass Porter. B&E pays the waitress, cook, beer supplier, (local people) and the owner makes a couple bucks. Now his wife is mad at him cuz he spends to much time at the restaurant, so he takes a part of his daily profit down the street to Candy Masterpiece and buys some of those awsome chocolate cherries in a nice heart shaped box. Angie has been feeling kinda down lately so she goes over to Studio Montage and gets a new hairstyle with some of the money she made off of all the cherries she has been selling. The stylest runs down to the Manhattan Coffee house in Times sq on her break and gets a latte.
The owner of the coffee house needs new window lettering and signs to advertise the name change of her business so she calls the ad agency where you work and around and around and around we go.
But a new Wal-Mart will mean more jobs, you say. I say let us consider those jobs. Are they skilled workers? College educated? Now don't take that wrong. People without skills need jobs. But I think our focus should be on QUALITY. How many youth in this town will stay here to work at Wal-mart. How many college educated sons and daughters of this town are going to return here to work at Wal-mart.And that is going to be in part two, where I believe I am going to piss some people off.

7 Old Comments:

Firefly- I have been tossing around a few ideas. Please email me, I'd like to discuss it with you & see what you think.

Thanks!

By Blogger ZenPanda, at 2:39 PM  

Ok, where did you hide your e-mail?
Mine is in my profile section.

By Blogger a-fire-fly, at 8:58 AM  

i think your right on some things. but then again....how come i and many other people from great falls go out of town to do there shoping? how come folks from the base would rather go to missoula to spen their money? would it be because we have don't any thing that wants them to stay here. most of the big stores your talking have great falls floks working for them. why does great falls want to stay small. this town was one of the biggest cities in montana. why is it so wrong to have stores that bring people here and not have people go to places like missoula.

By Blogger Keri, at 11:58 AM  

What stores does Missoula have? When did I say we wanted to stay small? At what time has Great Falls NOT been one of the largest cities? Prove to me "would it be because we have don't any thing that wants them to stay here"
Please support your view.

By Blogger a-fire-fly, at 1:29 PM  

Sorry, wanabgrcar [at] yahoo.

Missoula & Billings have Lowe’s...maybe Petsmart. Billings has the "cool" restaurants- Olive Garden, Cracker Barrel & Red lobster.
I prefer GF to do the majority of my shopping. I lived in Billings & Missoula- they can keep ‘em. Traffic sucks in both.
GF has one thing that seems to be growing tremendously- Dragonfly! We have the only Tony Roma’s in the state.
We have the potential to grow in many directions.

By Blogger ZenPanda, at 5:21 PM  

We all know Keri is right about the shopping. I've never heard of someone from Billings or Missoula coming here to shop, but I have several friends whose wives (including my own) who shop in Billings and Missoula. Don’t bend reality to make the anti Wal-Mart case. The current Wal-Mart is over capacity, so much so that many people quit shopping their because of the crowds. Some of these people are out of towners who are deciding between GF and other cities. An additional less crowded Wal-Mart will make GF more attractive and bring in additional shoppers (it certainly can’t bring in less). Additional shoppers make GF more attractive to other national chains like Lowes, Olive Garden and Red Lobster. Wal-Mart is already here, the 2nd store will only make it more convenient for those that shop at Wal-Mart.

If I was going to have a 2nd Wal-Mart wish list it would be that the new store had to build on 10th at a currently unattractive location and replace old buildings with new (Just like the new Walgreens). This could be almost anywhere where the street was widened to within feet of a building front.

By Blogger WolfPack, at 8:40 PM  

You make many good points Firefly, so I'll just touch on some of them. First, you ask what a particular development will cost our city. Good question. For example, our city 'leaders' built a second parking garage to accomodate one of our call centers and guess what? They promptly closed up shop leaving with a block-sized white elephant. We cannot give away the farm every time.

The Base is a good thing, and obviously our economy depends on it. We need to start planning, though, for what happens if and when it goes away. I think we're moving in that direction.

You're right about casinos, too. Most are local. Look at it this way. If you were a local entrepreneur, say 30 years old, wouldn't you look for a business that has a decent rate of return? Of course you would. As our economy grows and diversifies, you'll find that many of our young businessmen and women who now own casinos will expand into other things.

I agree with you about the big, national retailers. They're like giant vacuum cleaners sucking money out of the economy. On the other hand, though, we need them. People expect to see them in a community, and if they do not they immediately think 'podunk.' The more of these we have, the more it will contribute to our "image" as a thriving community in the state.

Finally, is attitude. In my lifetime, we have always felt second best. I still have to struggle to overcome the "we're not Missoula" mindset. Look, this is a great place. We need to remind people of that.

The people of this community need to take charge from the City and the Tribune, and make it work. I wish some of our business leaders were a bit more engaged.

By Blogger GeeGuy, at 6:52 AM